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and
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and profits have been amazing. This post provides a mid-week update on
how the stock market has preform.
At the bottom of this post are the all-time numbers since the current
alert was
made.
Market Direction: BULLISH alert issued 1/10/2019
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The U.S. stock market switched
direction toward the closing bell to finish mostly lower Wednesday as worries
over U.S.-China trade talks lingered. The dramatic reversal extended losses by
the S&P 500 and Nasdaq for a third straight session.
How
did the benchmark indexes fare?
The Dow Jones Industrial Average DJIA, +0.01% bucked the trend by edging up
2.24 points to 25,967.33. The S&P 500 SPX, -0.16% fell 4.63 points, or 0.2%, to
2,879.42, while the Nasdaq Composite Index COMP, -0.26% dropped 20.44 points, or 0.3%, to
7,943.32.
On Tuesday, the Dow tumbled 1.8% to 25,965.09,
suffering its largest percentage decline since Jan. 3, while the S&P 500
dropped 1.7%, to 2,884.05. The Nasdaq fell 2%, to 7,963.76. The S&P 500 and
Nasdaq saw their biggest daily declines since March 22, according to FactSet
data.
What
drove the market?
China-U.S. tariff tensions have
buffeted assets perceived as risky, such as equities, and the belligerent tone
from the White House caught many investors by surprise after having anticipated
a tidy pact to the protracted talks coming to fruition soon.
On Wednesday, a notice in the
Federal Register formally laid the groundwork to raise tariffs on $200 billion
of Chinese imports to 25% from 10% early Friday, following through on remarks
Monday by U.S. Trade Representative Robert Lighthizer regarding such a move. The
prospect of higher tariffs was first raised Sunday by President Donald Trump,
rattling investors who had anticipated better progress toward a near-term
resolution.
Trump once again weighed in on the
negotiations via Twitter on Wednesday, saying that the Chinese are now “coming
to the U.S. to make a deal,” implying they had previously been slow-walking the
negotiations in the hope that Trump would be voted out of office in 2020.
Read: With Trump threatening to tighten the trade screws, here’s a
look at what tariffs have done so far
Indeed, Beijing has said top trade
envoys, including Vice Premier Liu He, will head to Washington on Thursday to
resume negotiations.
China’s diplomatic contingent had
attempted to revamp a nearly 150-page draft trade agreement, as they were
reluctant to agree to signing new trade terms into law, raising the ire of U.S.
negotiators, according to Reuters.
Adding to policy uncertainty, Iran
said it may cease compliance with portions of a 2015
nuclear deal it signed with the U.S., Britain, France, Germany, China and
Russia. Iranian President Hassan Rouhani said that it would begin stockpiling
heavy water and low-enriched uranium unless non-U.S. signatories take steps to
shield the Iranian economy from Trump-administration sanctions that have been
crippling its economy.
What
were strategists saying?
“Some consolidation was to be
expected, given the phenomenal start of the year,” for markets, said Eric
Wiegand, senior portfolio manager at U.S. Bank, adding that the recent U.S.-China
trade drama provides an opportunity for taking profits.
He also warned investors the trade
dispute is “a phenomenon where you can’t get an edge, because you’re just one
tweet away from having your previous posture undermined.”
“Traders are in no mood to take a
stand right now as the uncertainties regarding China and Iran take center
stage,” wrote Bespoke Investment Group’s Paul Hickey in a note.
“The flight to safety has provided a
big boost for Treasurys, re-flattening the yield curve closer to the inversion
zone,” he added. “And to think, just three trading days ago, the S&P 500
was flirting with a record high close!”
Which
stocks were in focus?
Lyft Inc. LYFT, -10.84% shares slid 11% after the
ride-hailing company late Tuesday reported quarterly earnings for the first
time since its initial public offering in March. The company reported
first-quarter losses that were wider than expected, but revenue that topped
expectations.
Shares of Coty Inc. COTY, -5.47% tumbled 5.5% after the company
reported a narrower loss for the fiscal third quarter, ended March 31, than the
previous three months, but revenue that fell 10.4%, below consensus
expectations.
McKesson Corp. MCK, +4.79% stock rose 4.8% after the
supply-chain management company reported first-quarter earnings above
expectations.
Shares of Wendy’s Co. WEN, +3.95% gained 4% after the fast-food chain
reported first-quarter profits and sales that surpassed Wall Street forecasts.
Nautilus Inc. NLS, -2.35% stock fell 2.4% after the
exercise-equipment maker reported a first-quarter loss of 29 cents a share,
versus analysts expectations of 3 cents a share, according to FactSet.
TripAdvisor Inc. TRIP, -11.41% shares sank 11% after the company
posted first-quarter earnings that beat analysts’ expectations, but revenue
that widely missed forecasts.
Qorvo Inc. QRVO, +3.39% shares rallied 3.4% after the
radio-frequency component maker announced first-quarter sales and profits that
beat Wall Street expectations.
Shares of Chesapeake Energy Corp.
CHK, +3.96% rose 4%, reversing premarket losses,
after the oil and natural gas company reported a wider first-quarter loss and revenue
that fell short of expectations. On the positive side, the company beat
forecasts for earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization
(Ebitda), as production and prices were above projections.
How
did other markets trade?
In Asia, the Shanghai Composite Index SHCOMP, -1.12% fell 1.1%, while the Nikkei
225 NIK, -0.47% , in its second day back from an
extended holiday break, declined by 1.5%, following a similar drop on Tuesday.
European stocks SXXP, +0.15% were mostly higher.
Gold GCM9, +0.12% settled lower, while the U.S. Dollar Index DXY, -0.02% was mostly flat and crude oil CLM9, -0.19% rose.
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The all-time highs since our initial
recommendation to go LONG
this market. Here is how the markets have performed:
Stock Market
Direction Recommendation (1/10/2019)
|
||
Dow
|
up 2,694.06 points a 11.22% gain
|
4/23/19
|
Nasdaq
|
up 1,190.01 points a 17.03% gain
|
4/29/19
|
S&P 500
|
up 357.49 points a 13.77% gain
|
5/1/19
|
Related Link: http://www.stockmarket-direction.com/
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