Market Direction: BULLISH alert
issued 11/10/2016
U.S. stocks mostly closed higher Wednesday, with the Dow and the S&P 500
ending near record levels after the Federal Reserve stood pat on interest rates
but referred to the U.S. economy in positive terms.
The central bank, in its statement following a two-day meeting, said economic activity has been picking up at a “solid rate,” versus the “moderate” rate that it had referenced in September. The rosier view of the economy also suggests that it is on track to hike interest rates in December, as has been widely expected.
Read: Fed more upbeat on economy as it holds rates steady
What did stocks do?
The Dow Jones Industrial Average DJIA, +0.25% rose 58 points, or 0.3%, to 23,435, having hit an intraday record of 23,517.71 in early trading. The S&P 500 SPX, +0.16% climbed 4 points, or 0.16%, to 2,579, and hit an intraday record of its own, at 2,588.40. Both ended mere points from record levels.
Read: Wall Street’s strong October suggests happy holidays ahead—and beyond
Also see: Why the stock-market rally may be entering the FOMO stage
The Nasdaq Composite Index COMP, -0.17% however, bucked the trend to slip 11 points, or 0.2%, to 6,716.5. While the tech-laden index touched an intraday record of 6,759.66 earlier in the session, it turned lower on weakness in biotechnology and large-capitalization technology stocks.
Read: Here are the top 5 worries that could spook this monster stock rally
What’s driving the markets?
With the monetary policy update out of the way, attention will now focus on who will become the next Fed chair. President Donald Trump is expected to name his pick as early as Thursday, with all indications so far pointing to current Fed Gov. Jerome Powell as the choice.
Separately, investors continue to digest the latest corporate earnings. This season has been strong thus far, with 75% of the S&P companies that have reported beating analyst estimates, according to FactSet data.
Hopes for the passage of a tax package that includes corporate tax cuts have also provided support for investing in equities. The unveiling of a House Republican tax bill was postponed a day to Thursday to give lawmakers time to iron out unresolved issues.
Check out: 8 most important things to know about the GOP tax plan
Outside the U.S., traders welcomed the latest Caixin China manufacturing purchasing managers index reading, which showed factory activity in the world’s second-largest economy continued to expand at a steady pace in October.
What are strategists saying?
“The overall tone of the Fed has been slow, steady, and supportive of economic growth. We saw more of that today. Although the economy is continuing to expand with third-quarter GDP hitting the 3% growth marker and unemployment falling to a 16-year low, inflation has been stubbornly low. This stubbornly low inflation gives the Fed cover to continue its easy policy and that remains a positive backdrop for equity prices,” said Alexandra Coupe, an associate director at PAAMCO.
“The market is going up because there is no reason for it not to go up: Earnings are good, the global economic growth picture is good and there are expectations of a tax cut,” said Joe Saluzzi, partner and co-head of equity trading at Themis Trading.
“The only thing that worries me is the fact that global growth is not reflected in bond yields, but that may also be due to low or negative rates elsewhere in sovereign bonds,” Saluzzi said.
Read: Tesla earnings—Model 3 production, demand under the microscope
And see: EarningsWatch: Apple, Tesla and Facebook are post-Halloween treats
Fed see a rosier economy...
The central bank, in its statement following a two-day meeting, said economic activity has been picking up at a “solid rate,” versus the “moderate” rate that it had referenced in September. The rosier view of the economy also suggests that it is on track to hike interest rates in December, as has been widely expected.
Read: Fed more upbeat on economy as it holds rates steady
What did stocks do?
The Dow Jones Industrial Average DJIA, +0.25% rose 58 points, or 0.3%, to 23,435, having hit an intraday record of 23,517.71 in early trading. The S&P 500 SPX, +0.16% climbed 4 points, or 0.16%, to 2,579, and hit an intraday record of its own, at 2,588.40. Both ended mere points from record levels.
Read: Wall Street’s strong October suggests happy holidays ahead—and beyond
Also see: Why the stock-market rally may be entering the FOMO stage
The Nasdaq Composite Index COMP, -0.17% however, bucked the trend to slip 11 points, or 0.2%, to 6,716.5. While the tech-laden index touched an intraday record of 6,759.66 earlier in the session, it turned lower on weakness in biotechnology and large-capitalization technology stocks.
Read: Here are the top 5 worries that could spook this monster stock rally
What’s driving the markets?
With the monetary policy update out of the way, attention will now focus on who will become the next Fed chair. President Donald Trump is expected to name his pick as early as Thursday, with all indications so far pointing to current Fed Gov. Jerome Powell as the choice.
Separately, investors continue to digest the latest corporate earnings. This season has been strong thus far, with 75% of the S&P companies that have reported beating analyst estimates, according to FactSet data.
Hopes for the passage of a tax package that includes corporate tax cuts have also provided support for investing in equities. The unveiling of a House Republican tax bill was postponed a day to Thursday to give lawmakers time to iron out unresolved issues.
Check out: 8 most important things to know about the GOP tax plan
Outside the U.S., traders welcomed the latest Caixin China manufacturing purchasing managers index reading, which showed factory activity in the world’s second-largest economy continued to expand at a steady pace in October.
What are strategists saying?
“The overall tone of the Fed has been slow, steady, and supportive of economic growth. We saw more of that today. Although the economy is continuing to expand with third-quarter GDP hitting the 3% growth marker and unemployment falling to a 16-year low, inflation has been stubbornly low. This stubbornly low inflation gives the Fed cover to continue its easy policy and that remains a positive backdrop for equity prices,” said Alexandra Coupe, an associate director at PAAMCO.
“The market is going up because there is no reason for it not to go up: Earnings are good, the global economic growth picture is good and there are expectations of a tax cut,” said Joe Saluzzi, partner and co-head of equity trading at Themis Trading.
“The only thing that worries me is the fact that global growth is not reflected in bond yields, but that may also be due to low or negative rates elsewhere in sovereign bonds,” Saluzzi said.
Read: Tesla earnings—Model 3 production, demand under the microscope
And see: EarningsWatch: Apple, Tesla and Facebook are post-Halloween treats
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The all-time highs since our initial
recommendation to go LONG
this market. Here is how the markets have performed:
Stock Market
Direction Recommendation (9/21/2017)
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Dow
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up 1,158.48 points a 5.18% gain
|
11/1/17
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Nasdaq
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up 336.97 points a 5.25% gain
|
11/1/17
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S&P 500
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up 87.80 points a 3.51% gain
|
11/1/17
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Related Link: http://www.stockmarket-direction.com/
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