Market Direction: BULLISH alert
issued 11/10/2016
Last Week Review: U.S. large-cap stocks
were flat while small-cap stocks fell by more than 1% as the U.S. Federal
Reserve's (Fed) meeting minutes revealed that it is beginning to determine when
and how it will reduce the size of its balance sheet. In addition, the jobs
report showed that the economy added 98,000 jobs in March, lower than the
expected 185,000, according to Bloomberg. While the slower job growth may have
surprised some investors, it's important to remember that jobs data can be very
volatile, making it susceptible to sharp increases or decreases on a monthly
basis. One factor that can drive this volatility is the weather, which was
particularly bad in March and likely contributed to the weakness in job gains.
We expect Fed policy, the execution of the Trump administration's pro-growth
reforms, and geopolitical risks to cause volatility.
How
the market finished last week, the S&P 500 down 0.3%, the Nasdaq down 0.6%,
and the Dow flat 0.0%.
This Week: With a relatively light
economic calendar and only 4 trading days, most of the movement in the market
next week will likely come from political activities. Pay attention to the
news.
Next
week sees the start of US earnings season. Will all the hope and expectation
baked into US markets since the election be sustained once fresh hard earnings
data is out? US banks take the lead as ever, and given the sector’s mixed
performance of late it promises to be an interesting time
UK
data takes centre stage, with CPI, employment figures and retail sales coming
through. After the services PMI rescued sterling last week, can more good news
bolster cable once again?
Economic
Calendar: JOLTS (4/11), Import and Export Prices (4/12), PPI-FD (4/13), Consumer
Price Index (4/14), Retail Sales (4/14)
Some of the major earnings announcements on deck: DAL,
FAST, WFC, C, JPM, TSM.
$tockMarketDirection proprietary model is currently BULLISH. We strongly encourage you to monitor positions closely, exercise proper money management strategies
and follow us at $tockMarketDirection for ALERTS we may issue advising a
change in the current market direction. Stay tuned and follow us. If
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