Market Direction: BULLISH alert
issued 11/10/2016
Moody’s expects issuance in the primary market to accelerate in the second
half of 2017 as companies begin to address their longer-term maturities.
Speculative-grade maturities are comprised of $633 billion of bank credit
facilities and $430 billion of high-yield bonds, with the former up 9% and the
latter up 17% over last year’s numbers. Close to 60% of speculative-grade companies with debt due in the 2017-21 time frame are in sectors with stable outlooks, while 24% have positive industry outlooks and 16% have negative outlooks, Moody’s says. Among sectors with a stable outlook, the telecommunications industry has the highest amount of debt maturing before 2021, $81 billion, and among those with a negative outlook, manufacturing has the highest amount with $59 billion.
U.S. investment-grade non-financial companies have approximately $944 billion of bonds due in 2017-21, also a record amount, with maturities roughly evenly distributed over the period. The telecommunications, technology and media sectors continue to dominate investment-grade maturities, with 31% of the total, up from 29% from last year.
The energy sector accounts for about $117 billion of the investment-grade debt maturing in 2017-21, with about $70 billion held by companies in Moody’s lowest broad investment-grade rating category, which could present challenges. While commodity prices have improved, Moody’s said, the operating environment for energy and mining companies remains somewhat difficult.
Read: How falling oil can sully bonds outside of the energy sector
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The all-time highs since our initial
recommendation to go LONG
this market. Here is how the markets have performed:
Stock Market
Direction Recommendation (11/10/2016)
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Dow
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up 1,347.47 points a 7.16% gain
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2/7/17
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Nasdaq
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up 480.80 points a 9.23% gain
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2/7/17
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S&P 500
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up 133.517 points a 6.16% gain
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1/26/17
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Related Link: http://www.stockmarket-direction.com/
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