Market Direction: BULLISH alert
issued 11/10/2016
Last Week Review: Stocks were higher on the
week as the S&P 500 recorded its largest weekly gain in more than two years
and the Dow Jones Industrial Average had its largest weekly gain since December
2011, closing at a record high on Friday. Stocks initially reacted negatively
to the surprise election results – similar to how markets moved after Britain's
surprise vote to exit the European Union, but rebounded sharply in early
trading on Wednesday. We don't know exactly what will happen next with stocks
or policies; however, since 1944, stocks have risen by an average of 12.2% over
the two years following the election. While the president has many powers,
stock and bond prices are closely tied to fundamentals that won't change quickly.
So instead of speculating about what might happen, stay focused on the
longer-term trends, most of them positive, including modest economic growth,
rising corporate earnings, and slightly higher interest rates, providing the
support stocks need to rise over time.
How
the market finished last week, the S&P 500 up 3.8%, the Nasdaq up 3.8%, and
the Dow up 5.4%.
This Week: Q3 earnings season is
winding down now with more than 89% of S&P 500 companies’ reports already
out.
Donald
Trump’s election surprised the polls, but the market’s positive reaction
surprised almost everyone. While the rally was immediate and volatility has
fallen somewhat, caution for a few more days would be prudent.
The
November employment report on 12/2 and the 12/14 FOMC meeting are the only
remaining known volatility catalysts left in 2016. While the election is over,
occasional bouts of volatility are still possible.
Economic
Calendar: Retail Sales (11/15), Empire State Mfg Survey (11/15), PPI-FD (11/16),
Consumer Price Index (11/17), Leading Indicators (11/18)
$tockMarketDirection proprietary model is currently BULLISH. We strongly encourage you to monitor positions closely, exercise proper money management strategies
and follow us at $tockMarketDirection for ALERTS we may issue advising a
change in the current market direction. Stay tuned and follow us. If
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Related Link: http://www.stockmarket-direction.com/
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