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Last
Week Review: Stocks were down sharply in response to the
United Kingdom's decision to leave the European Union Friday, but were only
down about 1.5% on the week. And while stocks fell, bond prices went up,
highlighting the importance of diversification through volatile markets. It's
impossible to know with certainty which direction markets will head from here,
but if you maintain the mix of stocks and bonds that is right for your comfort
with risk and long-term financial goals, we believe that you will be well
prepared to stay invested through volatile markets from here.
The Brexit referendum surprised the markets in a
big way and now the UK must begin the 2-year long extrication process. Unlike
many market moving events, this one is unlikely to blow over in a few weeks.
While no one knows exactly how it will end, it’s a fair assumption that high
volatility will be with us for a while.
How the market finished last week, the S&P 500 down
1.6%, the Nasdaq down 1.9%, and the Dow down 1.6%.
This Week: After
the momentous events of last week, it will seem odd to have to adjust to the
normal, ordinary course of economic events. The future of the continent will
now be debated at every turn, and will dominate markets for weeks to come.
There is still plenty of data to come through, most notably from the US, so
markets and investors will have their hands full for the time being.
For
the past several weeks, Bloomberg futures market’s forecast of when/if the
Federal Reserve might hike US interest rates again the landscape has now
changed dramatically. the likelihood of a rate hike in July, September and
November dropped to zero, but the futures market is now pricing in a not
insignificant probability of a rate cut this year. The world has changed
indeed.
Economic
Calendar: International Trade in Goods (6/27), GDP (6/28), Personal Income and
Outlays (6/29), ISM Mfg Index (6/30)
Some of the major earnings announcements on deck: FDS,
NKE, STZ, PAYX.
Related Link: http://www.stockmarket-direction.com/
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