Market Direction: BULLISH alert
issued 10/24/2019
What is the current stock market direction?
Vote BULLISH (Up) or BEARISH (Down) in the upper right side bar, the current stock market direction weekly closing numbers. Leave a comment. Now for the news…
The economy
The week started with Apple (AAPL), the world's largest technology company by market cap, providing a revenue warning for the March quarter due to the coronavirus. Shares recouped initial losses a day later, as investors viewed the situation as temporary and China-specific, but it was hard to ignore the widening spread of the virus and the defensive positioning in the market.
U.S. Treasuries, gold ($1649.90, +67.20, +4.3%), and the CBOE Volatility Index (17.08, +3.40, +24.9%) advanced noticeably during the week, and barely moved even when the market hit new highs and momentum stocks like Tesla (TSLA) and Virgin Galactic (SPCE) extended their parabolic runs. Part of the defensiveness could be attributed to the elevated valuations in the market clashing with growth risks due to the coronavirus.
Cyclical sectors, and mega-cap stocks, underperformed, with the S&P 500 information technology (-2.5%), financials (-1.3%), and industrials (-1.2%) sectors leading the retreat. The defensive-oriented real estate sector (unch) was the lone group to avoid a weekly loss.
If one were to remain constructive on the market, one could point to this week's upbeat economic data. Building permits climbed to a near 13-year high in January, weekly jobless claims remained at low levels, and the Philadelphia Fed Index surged to 36.7 in February (Briefing.com consensus 10.7) from 17.0 in January. The data wasn't enough to prevent this week's profit taking, though.
The 2-yr yield declined seven basis points to 1.35%, and the 10-yr yield declined 11 basis points to 1.47%. The U.S. Dollar Index closed 0.2% higher to 99.32 after setting a three-year high (99.61) during the week. WTI crude rose 2.8%, or $1.44, to $53.37/bbl.
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The market direction weekly closing numbers for the indexes this week compared to the initial BULLISH recommendation closing numbers:
Stock Market Closing Numbers
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compared to Recommendation Numbers
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10/24/2019
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2/21/2020
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Difference
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26,805.50
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28,992.41
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2,186.91
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8,185.80
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9,576.59
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1,390.79
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3,010.29
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3,337.75
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327.46
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